Do you know less than nothing?
ClearerThinking recently published a multiple-choice test about the world's biggest problems. Pure guessing will give about 35%. So getting below 35% means you know less than ...
Tag: clearer thinking
Efforts to Improve the Accuracy of Our Judgments and Forecasts – Open Philanthropy
Most people are really bad at prediction, estimation, and judgment in general. And most people are much worse at it than they think.Fortunately, it is not ...